PAWNO wrote:Well Guybrush I believe your locked onto the theory that Alex Smith will continue to improve. You see results of a QB development in year 1 thru 3 where they start to harness the talent to co-incide with the Pro football coach theory they are learning.
Alex Smith really wasnt anything special last year. Harbaugh just started teaching him the neuancies to play like a pro footballer... If you expect him to make further leaps next year then I think you'll be suprised. (Alex only really improved on not turning the ball over, he still has issues with his arm strength)
Kaepernick is twice the athlete that Smith is. The only reason Alex got drafted 1 was because it was a weak class & even the other good qb from his year Aaron Rodgers had question marks of his own.
I like Kaepernick. Watched some Nevada games as we get our fairshare of college football games on ESPN Australia. If you put Kaepernick with that defense you still have another chance to go 13-3. But the upside of Kaepernick 5 years down the track to the aging Alex Smith might just be the difference between superbowl winners and playoff appearancers.
I think you're wrong, and I mean, really wrong.
First of all, you can't put a limit on how many years one can develop. Second, Alex never had a chance to develop, he was thrown in right away, with awful OL, and got hurt quite a lot. He still played, and played through shoulder separation, that's a guy I want on my team. Along that toughness he showed that he has balls during this last playoff. That's something you either have or don't, and Alex is one of the most mental tough guys I have seen. He changed his OC and playbook every year, so one more reason you can't expect someone to develop when he is starting from scratch every single year. He basically just now started to show his potential. He improved in every single aspect, but you can't see it probably because of those other QBs numbers, which threw the ball 100 more times than Alex. And it's not because Alex is bad, but because we had best field position average in the NFL.
Few things about Colin, Nevada is playing in a bad division, all those games he played against weak opponents made him look that good. Otherwise, he would most likely look 5 times worse if he played in SEC, especially with that throwing motion.
Alex doesn't have a weak arm, that's another illusion people seem to have. If you check percentage of 40+ yard passes, he is on top of the league. Yes, he didn't attempt it that much, but he didn't have deep threat option on his team either. And still did if quite good. Add to that 5 4th quarter comebacks, and you can see some things that really matter, more than numbers. That's a winner, and you can see that when you have a team, not when you play practice squad players alongside him, and expect him to be great. No open receivers, no more than 2 seconds from the OL.
And one more thing, Alex is not aging, he's 27, and we just saw that teams are still fighting over 36 year old Peyton Manning. If Alex manages to play good, he could be in a league for 10 more years. Few years that Kaep is younger don't mean much.