Blackfoot wrote:
8th ave wrote:
Blackfoot wrote:Betting lines are based on what the public thinks. Has nothing to do with who vegas thinks is going to win. They are just trying to make the bets break even.
I'm not so sure. Correct me if I'm wrong, but Vegas has everything to do with the lines. If they didn't think San Antonio was going to win, they wouldn't be favoring them by 3 points.
Yes, Vegas makes the lines where they think the public will be split 50/50.
It's why the Niners-Falcons game started -1 for the Niners. And than moved to -4.5 Everyone was betting the Niners so they moved it and everyone would bet the Falcons and have the money break even. If it breaks even they always win. They are good at having it break even.
To explicit the meaning of breaking even - they do not break even in the amount of money, for you pay the 'fee' on being able two bet 50/50 - for any 50/50 event you get 1,9 or lower coeficient, which only means that if you have to bettors differing on the same line (over/under etc.) you won 5 percent already. You have, for example, gotten 20 units of cash on two opposing bets, but you must give back only 19.
That aside, I have a good feeling for tonight's game. Hopefully it last longer than two and a half quarters.