jsw548 wrote:tHe_pEsTiLeNcE wrote:I think that Warriors win the series, but Dallas wins game 2 big, by like a 15-20 point margin that hovers around 7-10 in the first half, grows to 25 in the third and then is cut down a bit but never in jeopardy. We're talking about the 6th best regular season team all time here; they're beatable, but we're not gonna sweep them.
I haven't seen Dallas do one thing to us that would scare me. What else can they do to beat us that they haven't tried before? It's like us trying to beat San Antonio, no matter what we do they just are a horrible matchup for us. I believe that Dallas is the same way. Hell when most of our players had an off game, in the Warrior's first playoff game, on the road and we still won by 12. I truly believe that the Mavs will be very lucky to even win one game.
I'm torn on this. My head tells me that Dallas will win several games, and the Warriors will be very lucky to win the series. Not undoable, but Dallas is still favored IMO. But my heart tells me that the Ws have that intangible (good matchup for the Ws and Nellie knowing a lot about the Dallas players' weaknesses) and will win the series (still don't think it will be a sweep or even in 5, maybe in 6).
My Head's arguments:
Dallas won 67 games this year, they beat Phoenix (who play very similar to the Ws) twice and they are much deeper than the Ws, playing 10 guys pretty regularly. Dallas has much more playoff experience, and they will figure out how to relax and adjust to play the Ws in a long 7 game series. Nowitzki had an MVP kind of year, and he will figure out how to play against the Ws. Dallas is not going to shoot 35% on most nights, and they will get their offense going. They can dominate the Ws on the boards (as they did in the second quarter last night) and score inside on easy putbacks. The Ws have had a great run, and are playing well. But as soon as they get into a position where people "expect them" to win and there is more pressure on, it will be much tougher. It will be a lot harder for them to win at home than you might think, because of the pressure.
My Heart's arguments:
The Warriors are peaking at the right time. They have beaten Dallas repeatedly the past couple of years, even without Don Nelson. They match up great with Dallas, and know how to scramble on defense and take the Mavs out of their game. The Ws have many more offensive weapons, and Pietrus, Barnes, Richardson, Ellis and Harrington can contribute much more than they did Sunday night. Don Nelson has the Mavs number, he and the Ws are absolutely in the minds of Dallas. Dallas is a weak minded team, Nowitzki is not a leader, and there is nobody to step up and really pull them together. They will continue to wilt under the pressure, will remember last year when they choked in the playoffs to Miami, and will be lucky to win 2 games in this series.
So I guess we'll see if my head or my heart is right!!