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Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 10:54 pm
by krome
San Antonio Spurs (43 - 12) @ Golden State Warriors (31 - 23)

Start time: 7:30 PM PST @ Oracle Arena
Local TV: CSN Bay Area
Nat TV: ESPN

Probable starters for the Golden State Warriors:
ImageImageImageImageImage
C - Andrew Bogut
PF - David Lee
SF - Harrison Barnes
SG - Klay Thompson
PG - Stephen Curry

Probable starters for the San Antonio Spurs:
ImageImageImageImageImage
C - Tiago Splitter
PF - Tim Duncan
SF - Kawhi Leonard
SG - Danny Green
PG - Tony Parker

Team leaders:
PPG - S. Curry (21.1) | T. Parker (21.0)
RPG - D. Lee (10.8) | T. Duncan (9.7)
APG - S. Curry (6.5) | T. Parker (7.7)
SPG - S. Curry (1.6) | K. Leonard (1.8)
BPG - A. Bogut (1.5) | T. Duncan (2.8)

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Wed Feb 20, 2013 11:34 pm
by 8th ave
Loss....

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 8:50 am
by AndreasRiis
Not so fast. Spurs play at LAC tonight, Spurs will likely be slight favorites even though they're playing back-to-back and at Golden State, but this is definetely not a game which is predetermined by any means...

I say Warriors W.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 11:02 pm
by 8th ave
AndreasRiis wrote:Not so fast. Spurs play at LAC tonight, Spurs will likely be slight favorites even though they're playing back-to-back and at Golden State, but this is definetely not a game which is predetermined by any means...

I say Warriors W.


What were you saying? lol

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Thu Feb 21, 2013 11:03 pm
by 8th ave
Honestly, even if San Antonio didn't blow the clips, I'd still think they'd have a very high chance of beating us. They've had our number for the past 2 decades (im over exaggerating).

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 6:37 am
by AndreasRiis
Well, have you seen the odds? SAS are slight favorites

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 7:09 am
by 8th ave
AndreasRiis wrote:Well, have you seen the odds? SAS are slight favorites


What does it tell you if a team was on a back end of a back-to-back at another team's arena that is rested and you STILL give them 3 points? I hope I'm wrong though. I'd be thrilled for a win. I highly doubted that we were going to beat Miami and look what happened. That's why you always play the game, but I'm almost for certain we are going to lose this game.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:24 am
by Blackfoot
Betting lines are based on what the public thinks. Has nothing to do with who vegas thinks is going to win. They are just trying to make the bets break even.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 8:33 am
by 8th ave
Blackfoot wrote:Betting lines are based on what the public thinks. Has nothing to do with who vegas thinks is going to win. They are just trying to make the bets break even.


I'm not so sure. Correct me if I'm wrong, but Vegas has everything to do with the lines. If they didn't think San Antonio was going to win, they wouldn't be favoring them by 3 points.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 9:15 am
by 32
Spurs running a back-to-back. Warriors will be playing an actual center on Duncan for the first time in history. Klay got hot last game, Lee should ABUSE the ginger now that Duncan will be switched onto Bogey.

I'm with Andreas. Warriors surprise win. And I'd bet the under (209.5).

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 10:36 am
by AndreasRiis
But in order to win, we MUST contain Tony Parker. Right now, he is the 2. best player in the NBA. Our guards must step up defensively along with Bogut who must let his presence be felt in the paint in order prevent easy Parker-layups and floaters. I doubt that will happen though, cause Parker is reeeally on a roll right now, but if he doesn't go completely off, we can still win.

Kawhi is also back, a player who i really like and think can become the face of the franchise in the future. Very tough matchup, we must give Spurs our best in order to get this win, but i am optimistic if we hit our perimeter shots.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 12:35 pm
by Blackfoot
8th ave wrote:
Blackfoot wrote:Betting lines are based on what the public thinks. Has nothing to do with who vegas thinks is going to win. They are just trying to make the bets break even.


I'm not so sure. Correct me if I'm wrong, but Vegas has everything to do with the lines. If they didn't think San Antonio was going to win, they wouldn't be favoring them by 3 points.



Yes, Vegas makes the lines where they think the public will be split 50/50.

It's why the Niners-Falcons game started -1 for the Niners. And than moved to -4.5 Everyone was betting the Niners so they moved it and everyone would bet the Falcons and have the money break even. If it breaks even they always win. They are good at having it break even.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 7:05 pm
by martin
Blackfoot wrote:
8th ave wrote:
Blackfoot wrote:Betting lines are based on what the public thinks. Has nothing to do with who vegas thinks is going to win. They are just trying to make the bets break even.


I'm not so sure. Correct me if I'm wrong, but Vegas has everything to do with the lines. If they didn't think San Antonio was going to win, they wouldn't be favoring them by 3 points.



Yes, Vegas makes the lines where they think the public will be split 50/50.

It's why the Niners-Falcons game started -1 for the Niners. And than moved to -4.5 Everyone was betting the Niners so they moved it and everyone would bet the Falcons and have the money break even. If it breaks even they always win. They are good at having it break even.

To explicit the meaning of breaking even - they do not break even in the amount of money, for you pay the 'fee' on being able two bet 50/50 - for any 50/50 event you get 1,9 or lower coeficient, which only means that if you have to bettors differing on the same line (over/under etc.) you won 5 percent already. You have, for example, gotten 20 units of cash on two opposing bets, but you must give back only 19.

That aside, I have a good feeling for tonight's game. Hopefully it last longer than two and a half quarters.

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 7:21 pm
by 8th ave
no bogut...

Re: Game Thread: San Antonio Spurs @ Warriors 2013-02-22

Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2013 7:21 pm
by 8th ave
Maybe the trend of us being apparently better without Bogut will start.